Portfolio Project · Risk Management

Supply Chain Risk Assessment Framework

A quantitative, multi-dimensional risk scoring model applied to GCC trade lanes — developed to identify, score, and mitigate supply chain vulnerabilities for mid-to-large FMCG distributors.

China–UAE–GCC Trade Lane 8-Dimension Risk Matrix BCG 2024 Framework Interactive Scoring Tool

Methodology

4-Step Risk Assessment Process
Adapted from BCG's 2024 Supply Chain Resilience framework, applied to GCC-specific trade dynamics
1
Identify
Map all critical nodes: suppliers, carriers, ports, customs touchpoints per trade lane
2
Score
Rate each risk dimension 1–5 using structured criteria (likelihood × impact)
3
Weight
Apply dimension weights reflecting GCC market exposure and FMCG supply chain sensitivity
4
Mitigate
Prioritise interventions by residual risk score; track KPIs monthly in S&OP cycle

Step 1 — Select Trade Lane

Trade Lane Profile
Select a pre-loaded trade lane or customise scores using the sliders below
⚙️ Risk Dimension Scoring (1 = Low · 5 = Critical)
🎯 Composite Risk Score
-- / 100
📡 Risk Radar Chart
📊 Detailed Risk Breakdown & Benchmarks
Risk DimensionWeightScoreWeightedRatingBenchmark (GCC Avg)Indicator
🛡️ Prioritised Mitigation Actions
Actions ranked by urgency based on current risk scores. Review monthly in S&OP cycle.
📋

Framework Source: BCG Supply Chain Resilience Study (2024)

BCG's 2024 GCC Supply Chain Capability Gap Report identifies "quantitative risk scoring and scenario modelling" as the #1 missing capability in regional supply chain teams. This framework directly addresses that gap, applying BCG's recommended 8-dimension model to real trade lane data for mid-size FMCG distributors operating in the UAE and broader GCC region. Vinayak Bhadani developed and validated this framework based on operational experience at ANDS Dubai, where it supported quarterly risk reviews and informed strategic sourcing decisions during the 2023–2024 Red Sea shipping crisis.